The Twins didn't hit a home run Sunday, the first time all month they have gone consecutive games without reaching the seats. Yet for the first time since Aug. 1, they still managed to win.
That's a welcome, if uncommon, event for a team that has come to depend on home runs for a huge part of its offense. The Twins are 13-25 this season when held homerless and average only 1.95 runs per game. When they hit at least one home run, they are 52-35 and average 5.48 runs.
The dependence on home runs is even more apparent as a proportion of the team's offense. Minnesota's 168 home runs this year have accounted for 261 of its 551 runs, or 47.4%. It's the third time in their past four full seasons that homers have provided half, or close to it, of the team's offense.
That partly reflects a major change in the game, a shift toward power. For instance, in 1991, their last world championship season, homers resulted in 31.1% of the Twins offense, while during the 2019 season, when the Twins hit a major league-record 307 homers, they produced 51.2% of the offense.
"It's evolution. It's players and coaches realizing that it's far easier to score with one swing than string three hits together," Twins manager Rocco Baldelli said last week. "That said, I would say that like most teams, we would like to strike some sort of balance in how we score runs. You're going to have days where you don't connect, whether it's good pitching or just randomness, and you don't want that to mean that you aren't competitive on those days."
So what can a team do to score more without blasting the ball into the seats?
"It kind of varies, player to player. You have different kinds of hitters, and you try to find a way to string good at-bats together, put guys on base so a hit produces runs," Baldelli said, noting that the Twins "are among the best teams" at drawing walks, currently second in the American League. "We've discussed several times that when you simply put the ball in play, you never know what will happen."
That's a problem for the runaway leader in strikeouts, of course, and the Twins' total of 42 whiffs during the three-game series with Pittsburgh gives them 1,258 on the season, on pace to break the major league record of 1,596 set by the Cubs in 2021.