Minnesota, Midwest manufacturing conditions improve

Creighton University survey also shows the highest business confidence level in six years.

February 2, 2017 at 3:05AM
Goss
Ernie Goss, Mosaic (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Manufacturers across Minnesota and the Midwest saw increased sales and hiring in January, even as they continued to struggle with the high U.S. dollar and sagging export orders.

Factory leaders responding to the widely watched Creighton University Mid-America Business Conditions Index survey also indicated a business-confidence level not seen in six years.

The nine-state index and the Minnesota index each jumped to 54.7 in January. The index was up from 53.1 in December for the nine states (when it returned to growth mode) and up from 52.3 for Minnesota. Any score higher than 50 indicates growth.

"This is the third consecutive month the index has increased and points to an improving regional manufacturing economy," said Ernie Goss, director of Creighton's Economic Forecasting Group. "I expect this to generate even healthier growth for both manufacturing and nonmanufacturing for the first half of 2017."

The confidence level jumped six points to 69.5 in January.

Minnesota manufacturers noted increases in new orders, sales, delivery lead times and factory employment, which had been a sore spot in past months.

Goss largely credited Minnesota's improvement to makers of products with short shelf lives.

"Minnesota durable goods manufacturers, including metal producers and agriculture equipment manufacturers, continue to shed jobs," he said." On the other hand, nondurable-goods producers including food processors, are adding jobs at a solid pace."

Besides Minnesota, the Creighton report covers North and South Dakota, Iowa, Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska, Arkansas and Oklahoma.

A separate report Wednesday by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) found manufacturers made gains nationwide in January. The ISM producers index jumped to 56 in January from 54.5 in December, making for the largest gain seen since November 2014.

Thirteen of 18 U.S. manufacturing sectors grew. Contracting sectors included nonmetallic mineral products, wood and furniture.

Several supply managers told the ISM business was off to a strong start for the new year. Comments were particularly robust from companies making and selling chemicals, metal products, machinery, plastics products and automobile parts.

Mike Yeager, owner of Yeager Machine in Norwood Young America, said he is one who is more confident about 2017. His firm had a turbulent 2016, wrestling downturns in the oil, gas, agriculture and mining sectors.

Last year, the high-precision metal-components firm laid off six of 24 workers.

"In 2015, we couldn't keep up, business was so good. But starting in February 2016 business just stopped. Our revenue shrunk 25 percent last year and profits were nonexistent," Yeager said.

Now, orders are up again, thanks to some customers that stopped buying metal- part supplies overseas. As a result, the firm hired a lathe and mill operator on Jan. 2.

"And I will hire again," Yeager said, one in each quarter.

Several public company officials also expressed optimism for 2017 as they reported quarterly results.

For example, 3M CEO Inge Thulin said the company would see improved sales in health care, energy and industrial products. Sales should "gain further momentum as we move further into 2017," he told analysts during a conference call.

Dee DePass • 612-673-7725

about the writer

about the writer

Dee DePass

Reporter

Dee DePass is an award-winning business reporter covering Minnesota small businesses for the Minnesota Star Tribune. She previously covered commercial real estate, manufacturing, the economy, workplace issues and banking.

See Moreicon

More from Business

See More
card image
Dreamstime

The 2025 statewide survey was first to ask in detail about social media usage, and many students think they have a problem with it.

card image
card image