The decline of Minnesota's job market accelerated in November, with 10,500 jobs vanishing and the state's unemployment rate jumping sharply to 6.4 percent from 5.9 percent the month before.
Official projections of ensuing job losses, made only two months ago, already have proven obsolete. With a drop of 20,000 jobs in October and November, Minnesota has already lost two-thirds of the jobs that state labor officials predicted would take place over the span of a year.
In the last 12 months, Minnesota has lost 30,800 jobs. The state's employment stood at 2,745,500 in November.
"On every scale, this is shaping up to be a bigger event in the labor market than any past recessions in the postwar period," said Scott Anderson, senior economist at the Minneapolis office of Wells Fargo & Co.
"We're at the point in the recession when business people throw up their hands and say 'We have to hunker down,'" Anderson said. "They cut payroll as a means to economic survival."
Just six weeks ago, the Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED) foresaw 30,000 jobs disappearing from third quarter 2008 to third quarter 2009.
"Things are happening so rapidly," said Steve Hine, DEED labor market information director. "We were trying to keep up with events, as best we could."
Hine said a prediction by state economist Tom Stinson seems more plausible: a 50,000 decline in Minnesota employment in the year ahead. "We're in a dire set of circumstances here," Hine said.