Minnesota recorded the highest state unemployment rate in 17 years in May, a month when just 1,700 people were added to payrolls. By some measures, the May report was the grimmest in decades.
The 5.4 percent state unemployment rate, up from 4.8 percent in April, came at a time when six of 11 major industries posted job gains, albeit small advances. In the last recession, in 2001, the state unemployment rate never topped 5 percent.
The number of unemployed across the state rose to 158,404, a peak not seen since 1983. State non-farm employment stood at 2.8 million last month, up 0.3 percent from a year earlier.
In another bleak note, the percentage of working-age Minnesotans with jobs fell to 68.9 percent in May -- the lowest share in 20 years.
"I think the situation here already has touched bottom, but the improvement will be very, very weak," said Eugenio Aleman, senior economist at the Minneapolis office of Wells Fargo & Co.
"The economy is very weak, very close to a recession, although I don't think we're in a recession right now," he said.
Aleman expects the U.S. and Minnesota job markets to improve later this year, but he doesn't foresee a major upswing until 2009.
Oriane Casale, labor market analyst at the Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED), offered this perspective: "A 1,700-job increase is kind of a drop in the bucket when you're looking at 11,900 jobs lost the month before."