American women are having fewer children and having them later than ever before — a demographic shift being met with significant consternation from the left and right alike.
For conservatives, the fact that more women are putting off parenthood or forgoing it entirely is evidence of a dangerous decline in traditional family values. In this framing, women have been manipulated into putting their educational and professional aspirations ahead of motherhood, contributing to a broader cultural breakdown.
Liberals make the (better) case that birth declines are clearly tied to policy, with potential mothers deterred by the lack of affordable child care and the absence of universal health care, adequate paid parental leave and other basic support systems. Couple that with skyrocketing housing prices, high rates of student loan debt and stagnant wages and it's no surprise that so many women say: "Children? In this economy?"
Either way, the baby bust, if that's what it is, is cast negatively. Both liberals and conservatives point to shifting demographic trends as a kind of failure: of the family, of women and of a culture compromised by feminist ambition; or of the state, of capitalism and of our family-unfriendly workplaces that fuel a culture of overwork.
But what if lower birthrates are a good thing? For a great many individual women, reconsidering motherhood doesn't reflect hardship or unmet desire, but rather a new landscape of opportunity. As a country, we would be better off if we saw significant demographic changes as data points that can give us important clues about what people want, what they need and how we might improve their lives.
Birthrates are declining among women in their 20s, ticking up slightly among women in their 30s and 40s and, as a New York Times analysis found, decreasing the most significantly in counties where employment is growing. In other words, the women who are driving this downturn are those who have the most advantage and the greatest range of choices, and whose prospects look brightest.
Further, while birthrates are dropping, the total percentage of women who are mothers has risen, in part thanks to older women, college-educated women and unmarried women being more likely to have a baby than they had been. Childbearing remains overwhelmingly the norm: 86% of American women ages 40 to 44 are mothers. Motherhood isn't on the decline so much as motherhood is delayed, and families with one or two children are ascendant.
Thanks to feminist cultural shifts, and better access to contraceptives, more women now approach childbearing the same way we approach other major life decisions: as a choice weighed against other desires, assessed in context. Without compulsory childbearing, this assessment continues throughout women's childbearing years.