Senate Judiciary Committee hearings for Supreme Court nominees have long drifted into the realm of inconsequential theater.
Rarely is there any true attempt to discern nominees' qualifications for the job, or what might disqualify them. Since President George W. Bush got slapped down for nominating his White House counsel, Harriet Miers, to replace retiring Justice Sandra Day O'Connor in 2005, presidents have, for the most part, been careful to ensure that nominees have defensible — and often exemplary — pedigrees.
At the same time, the confirmation process has devolved into a petty partisan exercise. The party with the most votes in the Senate will get its way, regardless of what the hearings may reveal.
As FiveThirtyEight pointed out last month:
"Since [Justice Stephen] Breyer's confirmation, four of the seven confirmed justices received less than 60% overall support in the Senate, and those four each earned support from less than 10% of the opposing party's senators. This includes all three of former President Donald Trump's Supreme Court picks, who progressively received less bipartisan backing: Neil Gorsuch got just two Democratic yeas in April 2017, Brett Kavanaugh one in October 2018 and Amy Coney Barrett zero in October 2020."
Nominees have learned not to say much of consequence, which reduces the hearing to assessments of rhetorical performance and physical stamina. The nominee's demeanor and comportment become signifiers of fitness to serve.
And even then, they are no guarantee of how the hearings will go. In fact, the confirmation hearings of Kavanaugh in 2018 may well have been the death knell for the decisiveness of these hearings. He was accused of sexual assault by Christine Blasey Ford. An investigation into the matter was rushed and incomplete. Republicans complained that a good man's reputation was being destroyed. Kavanaugh raised his voice and choked back tears in his own defense. He was confirmed anyway.
That brings me to the spectacle we saw this week in the confirmation hearings for Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson. There is no doubt that she is qualified. There is also no doubt that, if Democrats simply stick together, she can be confirmed without any support from Republicans.