public offerings
IPO ice-out could be in June
The number of initial public offerings has dramatically slowed since last August's market correction and IPO activity hasn't picked up in the uneven markets since then. Only six IPOs have priced in the U.S. in 2016, none of them in Minnesota.
But one research firm that tracks IPO activity said in a recent report that strong IPO returns often occur when IPO pricings have been frozen.
Renaissance Capital, based in Greenwich, Conn., provides pre-initial public offering institutional research and manages the Renaissance IPO ETF, an exchange-traded fund that models Renaissance's IPO index. The IPO Index tracks aftermarket performance of two years' worth of IPOs.
Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF is down more than 23 percent in the last year.
Renaissance Capital calls IPOs that are issued during or after IPO market slowdowns "IPO Icebreakers" and its research shows the average IPO Icebreaker tends to outperform the S&P 500 index in its first 90 days of trading.
According to the report, among the 149 deals in the study since 2000, the average IPO gained 24 percent in the first 90 days of trading, outperforming the S&P 500 index by 20 percentage points."
The report suggests the IPO market could return to normal (roughly 15 IPOs or more per month) by June.
The report's conclusion, "counterintuitive as it sounds," is that "now may be the optimal time to keep a close eye on the IPO market."
Patrick Kennedy