Big state pension funds spend many millions of dollars a year hiring sophisticated advisers to bet on arcane strategies in hopes of boosting long-term profit and protecting them from market downturns.
Over time, returns have lagged.
A couple of Pennsylvania counties have found a simpler, better way, says Jim McMillin, elected controller of Butler County from 1994 to 2014, and an architect of that county's pension investment strategy, which relies mostly on low-fee investments based on stock and bond indexes.
Butler was "the first county in Pennsylvania to go fully indexed," McMillin recalls. "We cut our fees by over $1 million annually, lowered our fund's overall risk, and routinely outperformed the great majority of actively managed funds."
Montgomery County made a similar switch starting in 2013, a break so decisive the county doesn't report its profits from before that date.
McMillin points out that the largest Pennsylvania pension fund, PSERS, which currently invests $73 billion for half a million working and retired public school employees, would have raised an extra $4 billion plus over the past 10 years if it had invested like Butler County (and that's based on a conservative average of $50 billion for PSERS assets in those years).
Butler's financial reports show it averaged 8.08% annual returns in that decade while PSERS — the Public School Employees' Retirement System — averaged 8.0%, a small difference that adds up mightily over time.
Last year, as stocks rebounded from pandemic lows, PSERS returned 24.6%, breaking its own record. But Butler posted 26.8%, more than 2 percentage points higher.