The manufacturing sector has been among the hardest hit during the recession, with some companies still suffering double-digit sales declines. John Engler, who represents manufacturers on Capitol Hill as president and CEO of the powerful National Association of Manufacturers, whose members include Cargill, Ford and General Electric, was in the Twin Cities this week to touch base with Minnesota companies.
A former Republican governor of Michigan, Engler, who also serves on the board of Delta Air Lines, sat down for breakfast Wednesday in Minneapolis with leaders of 3M, Apogee and other Minnesota businesses. He talked with manufacturing reporter Liz Fedor about issues facing the industry, including health-care reform, whether a recovery is in sight and how many of the 2.1 million manufacturing jobs lost during the recession might be regained.
Q Manufacturing output has increased slightly in the United States in the past few months. What kind of recovery do you envision in the manufacturing sector during 2010?
A I hope that there continues to be a recovery. I expect it unfortunately will be slower than we would like. There is some inventory rebuilding underway now. We would really get a lift if the housing sector were clearly stabilized. Even as we look at some manufacturing growth, we still have a question of where is the demand going to be. It doesn't look like it is going to come from the consumers.
Q In the U.S., manufacturing employment has fallen by 2.1 million workers since December 2007. Your association's chief economist found that about 40 percent of those jobs may be regained. What kinds of training and business development are needed to get other unemployed manufacturing workers into new jobs?
A Productivity seems to be rising rapidly. When you couple that with the fact that our factory utilization rate is about 67.5 percent, there is a lot of production that can be achieved without very much hiring.
We've got a lot of workers in manufacturing who are retiring. They've seen technology and quality control come to play a very key role. The new worker coming in has got to be able to use it on day one. So they certainly have got to have the right kind of math and communication skills.
Q Manufacturing jobs typically pay more than jobs in the service sector. What opportunities do you see for job creation in the manufacturing sector? Does the green movement open the door for more manufacturing jobs?