Douglas: Plowable snowfall potential on Friday

A chilly weekend is on tap to be followed by highs in the 30s.

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The Minnesota Star Tribune
February 16, 2026 at 10:04PM

It has been 51 straight days since the Twin Cities has seen a plowable (2-plus inches) snowfall. Commuters may be relieved, but Minnesota snow lovers are apoplectic. “Paul, you promised!” I did?

Since 2000, there have been just 10 winters with above average snowfall (30-year average at MSP is 51.2 inches). Just three years ago the metro picked up a whopping 90.3 inches, the third snowiest on record. Since then, we’ve fallen off a cliff. Plenty of cold air, but not the perfect mix of cold and moisture necessary for big piles of white fluff. It’s human nature to search for a smoking gun. Climate change, La Niña, maybe the Vikings? It may just be natural, random variability; being in the right place at the right time.

Just rain Tuesday, but models are fairly consistent with a storm tracking from Denver to just south of MSP by Friday. Plowable snow is increasingly possible. Not a slam-dunk, but the first good chance we’ve had in weeks.

A chilly weekend gives way to more 30s next week. Intermission was great (50s in February), but don’t write off winter just yet.

about the writer

about the writer

Paul Douglas

Columnist

Paul Douglas is a nationally-respected meteorologist, with 40 years of broadcast television and radio experience. He provides daily print and online weather services for the Star Tribune.

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