Low oil prices are siphoning thousands of jobs from the vast, wind-swept fields of North Dakota, where not long ago workers could all but name their wage, but had to stand in line to get housing.
The cutbacks are forcing some Twin Cities companies that are helping build the Bakken to shelve new projects, but many say there's more than enough work to last several years, and that there's now a gusher of jobs in the Twin Cities to replace those that might be lost across the border.
"It's becoming a more normal market," said Kent Roers, a Twin Cities investor who recently pulled the plug on an apartment building in western North Dakota and has been scouting for projects closer to home, including Rochester. "We were already looking elsewhere because we knew we had to diversify."
Kent and his brother, Brian, left their careers to work full-time in the Bakken. They've developed about $140 million in commercial and residential projects in various parts of North Dakota, including 150 apartments and an office building in Williston.
A year ago, apartments were renting as fast they could build them in a market where rents can exceed $2,200 for a 700-square-foot unit. But with oil money drying up, there's no guarantee of that anymore.
"And people are price-sensitive," said Kent Roers. "They're looking at specials and deals."
Domestic oil production has stalled dramatically. The number of rigs drilling for oil and gas in the U.S. fell last week for the 17th week to 1,028, which is about half the number that were operating in November 2011, according to Baker Hughes.
And currently there are just 90 active rigs in North Dakota compared with a high of 203 in June 2012. That's why the most vulnerable projects in the region are those that cater to rig workers. That includes housing planned for areas where new wells were going to be dug, and speculative projects in boom towns where there was once an undersupply of everything from apartments to tobacco shops.