Don't look for a small business boom anytime soon.
Many company owners aren't interested in expanding, and many have no plans to hire.
They don't trust the economy. In a survey released in September by Bank of the West, 80 percent of nearly 500 small business owners called the economy a barrier to growth.
There are indeed signs the U.S. economy may be slowing because of weakness in trading partners like China and Canada. Earnings are down at many big U.S. companies, and manufacturers are exporting fewer goods. These developments have an impact on small businesses and contribute to a vicious cycle — when small companies aren't trying to grow or hire, it helps slow the economy further.
Owners' caution was clear in September hiring reports, including one from payroll company ADP that counted 37,000 new jobs at its small business customers, down 63 percent from the first eight months of the year.
Owners were more optimistic in the spring when the economy was recovering from a tough winter, according to the National Federation of Independent Business, whose Small Business Optimism index was at a high for the year of 98.3 in May; in September it was at 96.1.
Gene Marks, owner of the Marks Group, a consulting firm based in Bala Cynwyd, Pa., said the owners he's spoken to aren't as confident as they were earlier this year.
"They're saying, '2015 hasn't been as great as we thought it was going to be. I'm not ready to invest or hire,' " Marks said.