Joe Mauer, the new Twins first baseman, isn't too worried about whether he will be remembered as a catcher when it comes time for Hall of Fame voters to debate his career.
"I'd like to be remembered as Joe Mauer the ballplayer," he said. "I love to play the game, go out and compete."
Fact is, if Mauer is to one day be enshrined in Cooperstown, it will be because of how he played more than where. While there is some sentiment that moving to first base — where his power and run production are dwarfed by his contemporaries — will harm his chances of reaching the Hall of Fame, others believe that he has crept so close to eligibility during the first 10 years of his career as a catcher that he should have little problem getting in.
Three batting titles, one MVP Award and six All-Star Game appointments all work in No. 7's favor.
Sabermatrician Jay Jaffe, who does exhaustive research into Hall of Fame eligibility for Sports Illustrated, believes Mauer will be a Hall of Famer despite the move to first base.
"In all likelihood, Mauer will be judged primarily as a catcher when his time on the ballot comes, not as a first baseman," he said. "His status as a six-time All-Star and the first one to win three batting titles at the position should carry some weight. From the standpoint of my JAWS system, his peak value [in WAR] is already the fifth best among catchers behind Gary Carter, [Johnny] Bench, [Mike] Piazza and Ivan Rodriguez."
Jaffe's JAWS scoring system — which consists of a player's wins above replacement (WAR) averaged with his seven-year peak WAR — has Mauer's career mark at 41.4. That's not far from the average of the 13 catchers already in the Hall of Fame, 52.5. WAR measures a player's overall contribution to a team. Among first basemen, that would rank 18th of the 19 in the Hall — with several seasons left for Mauer to build on.
And statistician Bill James has created a Hall of Fame Monitor to determine the likelihood a player will make the Hall of Fame. A 100 is likely to be inducted, and 130 is a lock. Mauer is at 86, close enough that, with a few relatively healthy seasons, he should break into triple digits.