The 10th anniversary of the Supreme Court's decision in McConnell vs. Federal Election Commission passed largely unnoticed in December. Yet it was McConnell, upholding the McCain-Feingold campaign reform law, that fundamentally reshaped our political system, far more so than the recent decision in McCutcheon vs. FEC, which struck down overall limits on federal political contributions, or the decision in Citizens United.
McCain-Feingold, as the 2002 Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act is known, prohibited large contributions by wealthy individuals and corporations to national party committees, all of whose receipts were publicly disclosed. But, perversely, the ban on "soft money" left individual and corporate donors free to direct their funds to outside groups, where donations are concealed from public scrutiny.
Proponents of McCain-Feingold said the law would restore trust in the political system. Some suggested the parties would "thrive" because they would be forced to rely on small donors. Critics, however, predicted it would precipitate a tectonic shift of political power away from the parties and toward outside groups, which were likely to be far more extreme and far less accountable.
There can be no doubt today that the critics were correct. In the 2004 presidential election, outside groups such as Americans Coming Together and Swift Boat Veterans for Truth played a major role. By the time Citizens United was decided in 2010, well-funded outside groups had proliferated on both sides.
And as the outside groups expanded, the parties shrank. Adjusted in 2012 dollars, national party revenue steadily eroded from $1.48 billion in the 2002 midterm election cycle to $1.23 billion in the 2010 midterms. That's a 17 percent drop in spending power. Don't blame that on Citizens United. In the 2006 midterms, four years before Citizens United, party fundraising was just $1.24 billion in 2012 dollars, or $240 million less than before McCain-Feingold became law. Party fundraising has fallen off during midterms and in presidential-election years, though the decline in the latter years has not been as steep. The parties raised $1.66 billion in 2012 dollars during the 2000 election, the last full presidential cycle before McCain-Feingold took effect. In the 2012 election, they raised $1.6 billion, down 3.6 percent. Political spending typically correlates with gross domestic product, and during that period the national economy expanded in real terms by 23 percent.
But it was the shortfall in fundraising relative to outside groups that most profoundly undercut the parties' traditional role in our political system. Reliable figures on the total amount that outside groups raised for election activity are nearly impossible to obtain because much of that activity is carried out through tax-exempt social welfare organizations and trade associations that are not required to disclose what they spend. Nevertheless, one way to gauge the growing spending advantage that outside groups enjoy over political parties is to look at broadcast advertisements, whose sponsors are required to identify themselves.
According to political scientist Michael Franz, since McCain-Feingold, the number of advertisements that political parties sponsor relative to other groups has fallen precipitously. In pre-reform 2000, the Republican and Democratic parties aired two-thirds of all advertisements in the presidential general election. In post-reform 2004, that figure dropped to one-third; in 2008, it was less than one-fourth. By 2012, just 6 percent of all advertisements were sponsored by the political parties.
As a consequence, both the Republican and Democratic national committees have atrophied to the point that they are no longer able to exercise some core functions. Both national parties used soft money to support an extensive grass-roots network through their state party committees. As those funds dried up, the state parties shriveled. This hollowing-out has left the parties barely able to engage aggressively with outside groups on the left or right.