Nancy Dreher can hear a wave building over the horizon. She's expecting a towering swell of paper washing over Minnesota bankruptcy courts this year.
"I've been telling just about everyone I can tell that we're expecting huge increases in filings in the next year," said Dreher, chief judge of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Minnesota District. "We're bracing."
The tide already has been rising.
Nearly 13,800 people filed for Chapter 7 personal bankruptcy in Minnesota in 2008. That represented a 49 percent increase over 2007. For the year, business bankruptcies of all types -- including Chapter 7 liquidations and Chapter 11 reorganizations -- were up by two-thirds last year, to 815 from 491.
December was the problem month for individuals and companies alike, a sign that the economy is worsening. Personal bankruptcies rose 73 percent during the month from a year earlier. And 117 companies filed for bankruptcy, with 54 of them filing for Chapter 11 -- nearly half of the total number filed for all of 2008. However, about half of December's filings are connected to the Chapter 11 bankruptcy filings of two large entities -- Denny Hecker's nationwide rental car business, Advantage Rent a Car; and Petters Group Worldwide, a company owned by Twin Cities businessman Tom Petters, who is awaiting trial on federal charges of investment fraud and money laundering.
The sharp increase in December filings is a worrying sign, local bankruptcy attorneys say.
Normally, lenders try to avoid calling in loans at the end of the year; with retailers, in particular, banks don't want to cut off funding during the busy holiday sales season. "December was unusually active," said Joel Nesset, a Minneapolis bankruptcy attorney. "And I don't see anything that makes me think that the need for bankruptcy relief will lessen in the near future."
Still, in a year in which Minnesota lost more than 30,000 jobs, business failures climbed and paychecks were frozen or cut for many, what may be surprising is that personal bankruptcies didn't rise even faster.