With the Federal Reserve nudging up interest rates, certificates of deposit could be more attractive to yield-hungry investors. Eventually. Here is what the experts think would have to happen first.
Reach a threshold.To lure investors to a CD, the ideal interest rate is around 3 percent, said Austin Frye, principal owner of Frye Financial Center in Miami, Fla. We are still a long way from that, he noted, and there are a lot of contingencies.
The biggest wrinkle is inflation. As interest rates gradually rise, so does inflation, which erodes the value of a fixed-income investment, said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.
"If you start to get some difference between what you're earning and what is being chewed up by inflation, then CDs will be attractive again," he said.
Re-educate investors. At peak usage in 2009, U.S. credit union consumers, who make up about 10 percent of the CD marketplace, had $239 billion in CDs, but that has since dropped 18 percent, according to Mike Schenk, senior economist at the Credit Union National Association.
What is surprising to Schenk is that older, wealthier investors tend to hold CDs, despite minimal returns, especially when combined with fees.
If we do get to the point where CDs are viable investments again, there may be a whole generation of younger investors who have no idea what they are.
"The longer interest rates stay lower, the more millennials will not be familiar with CDs," said Abrams.