Among things that might drive up your costs? The Inflation Reduction Act, as global asset managers take over infrastructure.

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The Inflation Reduction Act will reshape the physical and economic landscape of the United States over the next decade, including in ways that might surprise a lot of people.

Anyone keen to understand how should look at Brookfield Renewable Partners' recent investment of up to $2 billion in Scout Clean Energy and Standard Solar. BRP is a vehicle of Brookfield Asset Management, a leading global asset management firm, with around $800 billion of assets under management, and it purchased two American developers and owner-operators of wind and solar power-generating facilities. This took place six weeks after President Joe Biden signed the IRA into law.

The IRA will help accelerate the growing private ownership of U.S. infrastructure and, in particular, its concentration among a handful of global asset managers like Brookfield. This is taking the U.S. into risky territory. The consequences for the public at large, whose well-being depends on the quality and cost of a host of infrastructure-based services, from energy to transportation, are unlikely to be positive.

A common belief about both the IRA and 2021's Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Biden's other key legislation for infrastructure investment, is that they represent a renewal of President Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal infrastructure programs of the 1930s. This is wrong. The signature feature of the New Deal was public ownership: Even as private firms carried out many of the tens of thousands of construction projects, almost all of the new infrastructure was funded and owned publicly. These were public works. Public ownership of major infrastructure has been an American mainstay ever since.

Biden's laws will radically overhaul this culture. Informed by what Brian Alexander, a writer for the Atlantic, in 2017 described as a profound recent change in philosophy among U.S. policymakers about "how to build and maintain America's stuff," the modus operandi of both statutes is principally to subsidize and catalyze private-sector infrastructure investment. Such a subsidy was explicitly factored into the aforementioned Brookfield investment in solar and wind power.

It is true, as many have observed, that the IRA allows for public investment in and ownership of clean-energy assets through its direct-pay provisions, which enable entities without tax liabilities, including nontaxable bodies such as public agencies, to benefit from the tax credits it makes available. But this presupposes that public entities are actually willing and institutionally capable of taking advantage of those provisions, which is anything but a given.

It took over two years of dogged campaigning for supporters of publicly owned U.S. solar and wind power to achieve a relatively modest victory, the requirement that the New York Power Authority build renewable capacity if private-sector developers fall behind state targets for renewable penetration. If revivified public ownership cannot be readily effectuated in New York, of all places, it will be an extremely tall order elsewhere in the country.

Asset management firms are likely to step in. A 2016 article in the New York Times examined fledgling asset manager investment in U.S. municipal water systems and presciently described it as the "leading edge of the industry's profound expansion into public services." At that time, the industry globally featured fewer than 100 infrastructure funds (which are the main vehicle through which asset managers invest in infrastructure). By 2020, there were over 250, the total amount of investor capital held in such funds for investment in infrastructure having quintupled since 2009.

Other parts of the world have been experiencing large-scale asset manager investment in infrastructure for decades. Led by Macquarie, an Australian financial services group that is the sector pioneer, asset managers began investing substantially in Asian and European infrastructure in the early 1990s. Today, in countries such as South Korea and Britain, infrastructure funds are the leading owners of major infrastructure assets in a range of sectors, among them energy, transportation and water.

The story of asset-manager-led infrastructure investment is overwhelmingly a negative one. Asset managers are focused on optimizing returns on the assets they control by maximizing the income they generate while minimizing operating and capital costs. Many users of infrastructure that has come under asset manager ownership have suffered, as service rates have risen quickly and service quality has deteriorated.

And in South Korea, Macquarie's eight-year investment in Metro Line 9, part of the Seoul subway system, involved a bitter spat with the metropolitan government over a proposal to hike fares by nearly 50 percent. That led Macquarie and other shareholders in 2013 to unceremoniously sell their stake, in what commuters came to call the subway line from hell.

Local critics charged Macquarie with taking excessive profits without assuming any risk, an accusation that has been a consistent drumbeat accompanying the phenomenon of asset manager infrastructure investment around the world. Macquarie said that it is committed to its operations in Korea and that its Korean infrastructure fund is a "passive financial investor" that has cooperated fully with the city of Seoul.

The story has been much the same when housing is owned by asset managers. There have been allegations of skimped maintenance and egregious eviction practices in some areas. Such outcomes have been reported in Spain, for example, a notable hot spot of asset manager investment in housing since the global financial crisis, by a series of academic researchers.

If the U.S. has been a relative laggard in asset-manager-owned infrastructure, it has been in the vanguard of asset-manager-owned housing.

The detrimental impact of asset manager ownership of housing appears to be a general problem, but it is not evenly distributed. In the U.S., for instance, the Sun Belt has been severely affected; increased eviction rates have been the most troubling outcome. Fred Tuomi, a veteran of asset manager investment in U.S. single-family housing, once described the region's housing market as an asset manager "strike zone."