The COVID-19 crisis has handed the countries of the world a simultaneous challenge, akin to a high-stakes reality TV show.
Here's a new virus; even at a relatively "low" fatality rate of 1%, its unchecked spread will kill millions. The challenge: Bring transmission to a halt, or at least to a level such that life can resume with some evidence-based precautions.
Well, episode one of this reality show is over, and it's pretty clear we're a favorite to be booted from the island, kicked out of the house, whatever is done to remove the weakest link.
The countries of the world have all taken their best shot at the challenge, and many have pulled it off, even those that had some early stumbles.
Take Italy: Its northern region was hit hard. Physicians read accounts of what was going on in Italian hospitals and shuddered — this was an advanced country with a robust health care system, how could this happen? Deaths spiked — 969 on March 27, per the New York Times coronavirus tracking site (the source for all the numbers presented here).
But Italy rallied. Lessons were learned. People masked, stayed home and pulled together. New cases peaked in late March at over 6,000 a day, but since then the curve has bent steadily downward, such that by June 17 they were down to 328 daily cases.
Other European countries had less of a catastrophe at the beginning, and have had even better results. Germany peaked at just 315 daily deaths in mid-April; its curve of new cases has also been steadily downward to just 580 cases on June 17.
Austria, geographically between Italy and Germany, fared more like its northern neighbor: As of June 17 deaths are down to zero, new cases are at 14.