After the break, rest of AL Central goes Tiger hunting

Detroit has a commanding lead, but pursuing teams aren't giving up yet.

July 17, 2014 at 6:20AM
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The Detroit Tigers have as large a cushion in the American League Central Division as any team in several years, going 17-6 leading into the All-Star break. But the teams trailing them don't view that 6½-game lead as insurmountable.

"Any team has a chance to do something special in the second half," Kansas City outfielder Alex Gordon said at the All-Star Game at Target Field.

And the Tigers are aware of that. They have led at the break in previous seasons and held that lead. They've also led at the break and blown the division.

"It's going to take a collective effort from everyone to keep playing as well as we have to be able to win the AL Central," Tigers righthander Max Scherzer said. "It's going to be a challenge, because the Royals and Indians are very good ballclubs and will be tough."

As the post-All-Star schedule begins Friday, the Tiger Watch will begin. Can Detroit, which holds the biggest edge of any division leader in baseball, pull away with the title? Will Kansas City and Cleveland get hot and put pressure on the leaders? If the White Sox and Twins don't pull off an unexpected comeback, will they at least make things interesting?

"Everyone has gotten better," Royals reliever Greg Holland said. "The Twins have gotten better, we have gotten better. Chicago has gotten better offensively. I think it's going to be a fun second half. I expect a lot of good, close games like the last couple of years."

Over the past five years, the team that has led the AL Central at the All-Star break has gone on to win the division only twice. When the Twins won the Central in 2009, they were in third place and four games back of Detroit at the break but ended up winning the division thanks to a memorable Game 163. In 2010, they came back to win from third again, 3½ games behind the White Sox at the break.

But no team in those five years had a lead as big as the Tigers, at 53-38, do now. Blowing a 3½-game lead is one thing. Blowing a 6½-game lead is another.

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With a deep rotation, anchored by former Cy Young winners Scherzer and Justin Verlander, it appears unlikely the Tigers will fall apart.

"We're in first place right now and it is great," Scherzer said. "But these things can evaporate in a heartbeat. We have to continue to play as good as we did in the first half."

What could slow the Tigers down is their bullpen. Closer Joe Nathan, a former Twin, has been awful at times this season, going 4-2 with a 5.61 ERA and five blown saves. Reliever Al Alburquerque is tied for third in the league in appearances (45) and seems to appear in every game against the Twins. Trading for bullpen depth could lock up the division.

On paper, that is. On the field, baseball is unpredictable, giving hope to the four teams chasing the Tigers:

• The Royals really struggled at the plate at the beginning of the season and don't have a lot of power. A 14-4 run in late May and early June briefly landed them in first place. They are fourth in the league in batting with runners in scoring position, which needs to continue in order for them to chase down the Tigers.

• Cleveland has been slowed because of injuries, but All-Star outfielder Michael Brantley and third baseman Lonnie Chisenhall have had breakout seasons. The Indians, however, might be the worst defensive team in the division, which could cost them.

"We've kind of played almost like last year, where if we show up and play well in the second half, we have a chance to have very meaningful games down the stretch," Cleveland manager Terry Francona said. "When that happens, you never know what can happen."

• Chicago looks to have a short roster. But they have one of the top pitchers in the game in lefthander Chris Sale (8-1, 2.08 ERA) and teams fear rookie first baseman Jose Abreu, who has a league-leading 29 home runs.

"[Abreu] changes the complexion of their lineup," Scherzer said.

• The Twins are the caboose of this train. After losing at least 96 games in each of the past three seasons, they are on pace to go 76-86.

Twins players, despite being a whopping 10½ games behind Detroit and 6½ back in the wild card, don't feel the gap between them and the rest of the division is that great. They will have to do plenty of convincing, because they have been unable to put all facets of the game together for any stretch of time. And they haven't stayed healthy.

"We have to become a good team rather than an inconsistent team," closer Glen Perkins said.

Perhaps no team in the division has more important players on the disabled list than the Twins. Shortstop Danny Santana (left knee bone bruise) could return this weekend against Tampa Bay and return to the top of the batting order, which the Twins sorely need. First baseman Joe Mauer (right oblique strain) was starting to hit like previous years before his injury, but he might need a couple more weeks to recover. Righthander Ricky Nolasco (right elbow strain) is out indefinitely, too, and has not pitched like the staff ace the Twins need him to be.

For the Twins to back up their claims that their best baseball will come in the second half, they will need those three players back in the lineup. Then they can work on climbing up the standings.

"We'll see how it goes," righthander Phil Hughes said. "No one has given up."


Detroit Tigers relief pitcher Joe Nathan
The key: Will Joe Nathan-led bullpen — 12th in the AL in ERA — hold together to support a deep, talented starting rotation? (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Kansas City Royals' Alex Gordon grounds out during the ninth inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers in Detroit, Wednesday, June 18, 2014. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
The key: The Royals are 10th in the AL in runs scored and last in home runs. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Cleveland Indians left fielder Michael Brantley runs down a fly ball during batting practice before a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Monday, June 16, 2014, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan)
The key: The Indians have committed more errors than any other team in the AL. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Scott Carroll delivers against the Cleveland Indians on the first inning of a baseball game Saturday, July 12, 2014, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan)
The key: The staff ERA of 4.17 ranks 12th among AL teams, one spot ahead of the Twins. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Minnesota Twins' Joe Mauer sprints to secoind on a stolen base attempt in the first inning of a baseball game, Saturday, June 28, 2014, in Arlington, Texas. The batter struck out on the play. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
The key: Need Joe Mauer and Ricky Nolasco to get healthy and carry the load, as planned. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco (47) tosses a ball after giving up a single to New York Yankees' Kelly Johnson to load the bases during the second inning of a baseball game in Minneapolis, Sunday, July 6, 2014. (AP Photo/Ann Heisenfelt)
Righthander Ricky Nolasco (47) signed a four-year, $49 million contract in the offseason to become the Twins’ de facto ace, but he’s 5-7 with a 5.90 ERA and rehabbing a right elbow strain. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)
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about the writer

La Velle E. Neal III

Columnist

La Velle E. Neal III is a sports columnist for the Minnesota Star Tribune who previously covered the Twins for more than 20 years.

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