
At 21-48, the Twins have the worst record in the majors and are seven games worse than the next-worst American League team (Oakland, at 28-41). There have been no shortage of stories and opinions about exactly what has gone wrong, along with heaps of discussions of who is to blame.
A fair amount of the finger-pointing has been directed at Twins GM Terry Ryan, and he in turn has said he deserves the heat.
But one point I keep coming back to is this one: even if you were skeptical of the roster coming into the season, nobody would have predicted this dismal record after 69 games. And in particular, if Ryan can be given any sort of pass, I believe it rests with the pitching staff. Even the biggest cynic would have been reaching to foresee that the 12 pitchers who broke camp and started the year on the big league club — and in particular the ones the Twins were counting on the most — would struggle to the level they have.
If the offense was (and perhaps still is) too reliant on young players such as Miguel Sano, Byron Buxton, Eddie Rosario and co., the struggles of the pitching staff are more defined by track records going off the rails. The starting staff alone has gone 10-34 with a 5.61 ERA. Clayton Kershaw won his 11th game of the year last night, giving him more wins than all the Twins starters combined.
Here is a look at the 12 pitchers who started the year on the roster:
Ervin Santana: The Twins could have reasonably expected a 2016 season on par with his 2015 half-season, when he posted a 4.00 ERA and logged 108 innings in 14 decent starts. Instead, his ERA has bloated to 4.83, even after a better outing over the weekend, to go with a 2-7 record.
Kyle Gibson: He's been hurt, and when he hasn't been hurt he's posted a 0-5 record with a 6.06 ERA in six starts. The injuries and ineffectiveness might go hand-in-hand. Regardless: The Twins thought he was primed to take a step forward, and he has instead so far taken a step back from last year's 3.84 ERA in nearly 200 innings.
Phil Hughes: He's 1-7 with a 5.95 ERA and is out for a long time with a fracture in his leg. Hughes' velocity has been down, a continuation of a trend from last year. But even if the expectation for this year was closer to his 11-9, 4.40 ERA in 2015 than his very good 2014 numbers (16-10, 3.52), it's been an unexpected downturn.