Looks like this fall's Minneapolis and St. Paul campaigns won't be just about policing after all. Not with property tax increase proposals shooting like Roman candles from mayoral offices last week.
Minneapolis Mayor Betsy Hodges — a candidate for re-election this fall — might have drawn a few ooh-aahs for her 5.5 percent proposed increase, were it not for the breathtaking proposal the same day from her lame-duck St. Paul counterpart, Mayor Chris Coleman. He bravely stood before his fellow taxpayers and said that to make up for the loss of the city's right-of-way assessment, recently found to be unconstitutional, the city levy needs (gulp!) a 23.9 percent boost. His recommended increase would be 4.9 percent but for the demise of the assessment, he explained in a tacit plea for mercy.
He soon saw that candidates for governor get none. DFLer Coleman had barely stopped speaking when the GOP-allied Minnesota Jobs Coalition blasted him for "failed 'leadership' " and "out-of-control spending."
Before voters decide whether that's a fair shot, they should know this: If the state's local government aid (LGA) spending had kept pace with inflation since 2003, St. Paul would be receiving $48 million more this year from state taxpayers than it's getting now. That's more than twice the amount needed to replace the lost assessments. In fact, it would be enough to cut St. Paul's 2017 property tax levy by 42 percent.
A similar fiscal story can be told in Minneapolis, Duluth and regional centers throughout the state. Lagging LGA has been a big contributor to two decades of property tax hikes.
The progressive North Star Policy Institute this year tallied that on a per-capita basis, LGA shrank 64.5 percent from 1990 to 2017. Though property taxes on average rose 44.3 percent per capita during the same period, total Minnesota city revenues are down 8.9 percent since 1990.
This year, the Legislature added $15 million per year to LGA's outlays. But the total is still $30 million below the program's 2002 appropriation — and that's without considering what 15 years of inflation has wrought.
That's an important backdrop to the 2018 property tax proposals flying out of city halls this season. It's also essential context for the talking points Minnesotans are already hearing from next year's candidates for governor.