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My phone buzzed three times in one afternoon. Rent due. Loan autopay confirmed. A friend texting that she was driving back to Alabama because every short-term apartment fell through. Alone, each alert was ordinary. Together, they read like the weather.
The temperature in Gen Z life is set by prices, bills and whether a door to decent work opens when we push. That is why the story of young voters is not a wave or a flip. It is a thermostat.
Plenty of people are reading our votes from the recent election like tea leaves. After showing stronger support for Trump in 2024 compared to the previous presidential election, many young voters this past November also backed democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani in New York City and the Democratic gubernatorial candidates in Virginia and New Jersey. Some say it is newfound idealism, others say it is a revolt against institutions. The truth is in the ledger, not the legend.
Where campaigns produced receipts on affordability and real routes into careers through college and apprenticeships, youth turnout and margins climbed. Where leaders offered abstractions, the room cooled. As Alberto Medina from the Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tufts University told me, “Young people are very much issue-based voters. That is what motivates them and drives them to the polls. They are not candidate or party loyalists. It is about how a campaign speaks to the issues and shows a path for their lives to get better.”
We did not become conservatives in 2024 and then progressives in 2025. We looked for leaders who could lower the cost of becoming an adult. In New York City, young voters heard full sentences about rent, groceries and transit, and they turned up the temperature for a candidate who spoke to those needs. In Virginia and New Jersey, concrete plans met real organizing, and the needle moved the same way. This is not fickleness. It is discernment.
There are also two Gen Zs at the ballot box. Young women are more likely to be Democrats, with a double clarity about rights and the cost of living at home. Young men are more fluid, not because they are immune to inequality but because status and agency are the currencies they are told to chase, and the economy keeps moving the goalposts. When politics sounds like defending the system as it is, their temperature drops. When politics sounds like a first foothold, they warm to it.