Who will win big at the Grammys? Our critic weighs in with his predictions

Our critic predicts the winners at Sunday's Grammy Awards in the four biggest categories.

February 10, 2017 at 8:05PM
FILE - In this Nov. 4, 2016 file photo, Beyonce performs at a Get Out the Vote concert for Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton in Cleveland. Beyonce received seven nominations for the 48th annual Image Awards, including entertainer of the year, outstanding female artist and best album, for "Lemonade.' Last week, she topped the Grammy Award nominations with nine bids. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File)
(Andrew Harnik — Associated Press/The Minnesota Star Tribune)

ALBUM OF THE YEAR

The nominees: "25," Adele; "Lemonade," Beyoncé; "Purpose," Justin Bieber; "Views," Drake; "A Sailor's Guide to Earth," Sturgill Simpson.

Our pick: It's four bestsellers plus Simpson's critically adored, adventurous Americana effort. Despite its blockbuster and industry-saving sales, Adele's "25" is not as satisfying as its Grammys-sweeping predecessor, "21." Let's hope voters realize that and recognize a far worthier work, Beyoncé's bold, ambitious and socially aware "Lemonade."

BEST NEW ARTIST

The nominees: Kelsea Ballerini, Maren Morris, Chance the Rapper, Anderson .Paak, the Chainsmokers.

Our pick: The finals find two impressive country thrushes, two rising names in hip-hop and a Top 10 pop/electronica duo that needs a guest singer to deliver their hits, including Halsey on the chart-topping "Closer." The hyper-creative Chance, who had a big-selling streaming album, deserves this prize. Grammys voters will reward him, as they did a few years ago with lesser known jazz musician Esperanza Spalding.

RECORD OF THE YEAR

The nominees: "Hello," Adele; "Formation," Beyoncé; "7 Years," Lukas Graham; "Work," Rihanna featuring Drake; "Stressed Out," Twenty One Pilots.

Our pick: A year ago at the Super Bowl, Beyoncé introduced "Formation," a declaration about how black lives matter. Since Grammy voters cast their ballots after the presidential election, her protest piece is even more relevant, and it will prevail with the Grammys electoral college.

SONG OF THE YEAR

The nominees: "Formation" sung by Beyoncé; "Hello" sung by Adele; "I Took a Pill in Ibiza" sung by Mike Posner; "Love Yourself" sung by Justin Bieber; "7 Years" sung by Lukas Graham.

Our pick: All these songs were cowritten by the singers who made them into hits. I think this category is going to deliver a surprise — either "7 Years," a thoughtful pop reflection on what life looks like at different ages, or "Love Yourself," an empowering anthem by, yes, Bieber (co-written with Ed Sheeran), is going to win over the more high profile efforts by Beyoncé, which is a better record than a song, and by Adele, which doesn't measure up to her special efforts of the past.

about the writer

about the writer

Jon Bream

Critic / Reporter

Jon Bream has been a music critic at the Star Tribune since 1975, making him the longest tenured pop critic at a U.S. daily newspaper. He has attended more than 8,000 concerts and written four books (on Prince, Led Zeppelin, Neil Diamond and Bob Dylan). Thus far, he has ignored readers’ suggestions that he take a music-appreciation class.

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