The July 2015 agreement to dissolve Iran's nuclear program has reshaped the country's relationship with the West, but just how much things at home have changed will be tested Friday in parliamentary elections. It's the first major political test for moderate President Hassan Rouhani, who was elected in 2013 on pledges to resolve the nuclear dispute, end Iran's diplomatic and economic isolation, and repair ties with the West.
Q: What exactly are Iranians voting on?
A: Voters will select members of the 290-seat parliament, or Majlis, which drafts laws and approves the president's Cabinet appointments. The current parliament has been a thorn in Rouhani's side, with a small group of hard-line opponents of the nuclear deal obstructing his agenda. Perhaps even more crucial, voters will also cast ballots for the Assembly of Experts, a body of 88 Islamic jurists who serve eight-year terms. Its makeup has taken on greater importance in this vote because the next assembly could select the successor to supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who is 76 and believed to be in deteriorating health. Put together, analysts say, it makes for the most consequential nonpresidential elections in Iran in decades.
Q: How free are the elections?
A: Not very. The Guardian Council, a group of jurists and theologians who supervise the elections, disqualified more than half of the roughly 12,000 candidates who had registered to contest parliamentary seats. The vast majority of those thrown out were reformists, who oppose the religious hard-liners' four-decade grip on politics. In three-quarters of constituencies, the reformist camp was left without names to put on the ballot, forcing it into an alliance with moderates.
Q: What are the battle lines?
A: Even with the disqualifications, the vote has shaped up into a contentious referendum on the nuclear deal, pitting hard-liners and opponents of the deal against reformists and their moderate allies, led by Rouhani. Unlike in 2004 and 2012, when reformist groups boycotted polls after mass disqualifications, the pro-Rouhani group is hoping that a large turnout will work in its favor and is encouraging supporters to back all of its candidates.
Q: What's the most likely outcome?