The public's safety is being weighed against a host of economic factors as officials try to work out a plan that will dictate what can be built in the flight path of the St. Paul Downtown Airport.
The state-mandated plan is about 30 years past due and intended to minimize damage if a plane crash were to happen. At the same time, officials say, existing buildings, potential development and job creation need to be factored in.
That balancing act, given the airport's urban location, means the plan will probably be less restrictive than state minimum safety standards that have sizable no-build areas off the ends of runways. St. Paul says it could lose thousands of potential jobs and $2 million in annual property taxes if it adopted the state's standards.
"There's a tradeoff in everything we do today," said Gary Workman, director of the Minnesota Department of Transportation's aeronautics office. MnDOT administers aviation safety, and the commissioner ultimately signs off on the plans.
"How many people do you have to have killed at an intersection before you put in a stop light?" Workman asked. "You can't put stoplights at every corner."
Aviation crashes are rare, but many that do occur happen within 2 miles of airports. Last summer, eight people died when a small jet crashed off the runway in Owatonna, Minn. Between 1988 and 2007, eight accidents were attributable to the St. Paul airport, according to a 2008 safety study by consultant HNTB. Four people died in a rare midair collision that dropped remnants of two planes in Lowertown in 1992.
The study showed that the probability of a crash at the St. Paul airport is less than one in 10 million flight operations.
Airport has big impact