Yesterday, heck, this morning, I thought we were all destined for an NHL lockout.
Now, I think there is a much greater chance of avoiding it after the NHLPA, 32 days after the NHL made its initial and very one-sided proposal, finally countered today in Toronto.
Trust me, this won't be over quickly, but also trust me, the people in that room on the NHL's side of the table today half expected union chief Donald Fehr to walk in, blow up the salary cap and start over from scratch with a completely brand new economic system in the NHL.
If that happened, we all knew we'd have a long way to go and there would no way an agreement would be reached by the Sept. 15 lockout deadline.
Instead, the NHLPA extended an "alternative proposal" today that kept the hard salary cap (with what Fehr called a few exceptions) in place, which means right away the owners were all ears, remained attentive and should be willing to at least negotiate off this current proposal.
The NHLPA is also willing to accept $465 million in salary givebacks (i.e. reduction in their share of the revenue pie), but that's over a three-year period, and I think something the NHL will want to negotiate bigtime.
The NHLPA also calls for expanded revenue sharing of what Fehr said would be up to $250 million a season. The league proposed $190 million, I'm told by sources, which is up from $170 million in the previous CBA. In the player proposal, I'm told the figure listed is actually $240 million (not 250, like Fehr said in his presser). Whatever: $240 million or $250 million is relatively not a long ways off from $190 million, so that's pretty negotiable.
The other area where I think the NHL will want to negotiate with the union is in the contractual system. The NHL proposed no salary arbitration, increasing the years of service to become an unrestricted free agent from seven years to 10, raising entry-level contracts from three years to five and going to maximum five-year contracts. The NHLPA proposal offered no modifications, Fehr said. You know the NHL will want to delve into that.