Future historians may recall President Obama's foreign policy as the Clash of the Clichés: Every time the president draws a red line, he winds up painting himself into the corner.
He did it with Syria, and now he's done it with Ukraine. After Obama warned Russia to back off — "there will be consequences if people step over the line" — Vladimir Putin snorted in disdain and invaded the country anyway.
What are the consequences? None in sight. Neither the United States nor anyone else is going to get into a war over who controls Crimea. And if Obama proposes economic sanctions, he'll find himself pretty much going it alone.
Russia, as the world's third-largest producer of both oil and natural gas, is just too important for most countries to play economic hardball with. The Western European nations that are most dismayed by Putin's adventuring in Ukraine are also the least able to do anything about it: More than a third of their natural gas is supplied by Russia.
Fortunately, Obama can bring crushing pressure to bear on Putin without risking a life or spending a penny. All he's got to do is borrow a page from former President Ronald Reagan's foreign-policy playbook.
Reagan's military confrontations with Putin's Soviet predecessors — the contras, the mujahedeen, Star Wars — are well-known. But his most effective policy is less-remembered: Reagan relentlessly jawboned Saudi Arabia to boost its oil production.
That increased supply and decreased prices, ripping the heart out of Moscow's oil-export business and sending its already-shaky economy into a tailspin. Less than a decade later, the Soviet Union collapsed.
Obama can do the same thing to Putin, without even asking for help from Saudi Arabia. All he has to do is stop interfering with the U.S. production of natural gas through fracking and stop blocking construction of the Keystone XL oil pipeline.