In a perfect world, the Twins this offseason could have handed Sonny Gray or some comparable pitcher a blank check, told them to fill it in with their preferred number, and went about the business of staying top the mediocre American League Central.
But that's seldom how business has worked for the Twins, and it certainly isn't this offseason given a projected revenue decline from a new local TV deal.
So instead, Gray has already signed a lucrative three-year deal with the Cardinals. Kenta Maeda quickly followed with a two-year deal to the Tigers. And Emilio Pagan, a surprisingly important part of last year's bullpen, got a two-year deal with the Reds.
Those three pitchers will make a combined $45 million next season for other teams after making about $20 million combined for the Twins last year.
That $25 million difference might end up being about how much the Twins' payroll declines, too: From about $156 million a year ago to maybe $130 million this year.
Not paying all three pitchers might end up being good business. But it also will send the Twins on a Whack-A-Mole chase this offseason as they try to assure that their greatest strength last season — pitching quality and depth — doesn't become a weakness.
The clearest path to this pursuit, as Bobby Nightengale and I talked about on Friday's Daily Delivery podcast, is the trade market.
And to me, a Jorge Polanco trade is the key to much of the offseason. Why?