FORT MYERS, Fla. -- From the day Miguel Sano's right elbow was first examined last October, the Twins realized that Tommy John surgery might be necessary. But "you roll the dice," assistant general manager Rob Antony said, and gamble that rest and rehab might heal the ligament and salvage his season.
The Twins rolled snake eyes.
Sano, the Twins' most promising power prospect in a generation, will undergo elbow surgery and miss the 2014 season, the team decided Saturday after an MRI confirmed that a partial tear in the ulnar collateral ligament of his right elbow has not improved. Surgeons will replace the UCL later this month, and Sano, who will need about eight months to recover, will resume his career next spring.
"When I come back," Sano vowed, "I'm same player."
The Twins certainly hope so, since Sano, a 20-year-old third baseman, is generally rated the top slugging prospect in baseball. His 35 home runs between Class A and AA last season were the most by a Twins minor-leaguer in three decades, since Stan Holmes hit 37 in 1983.
He accomplished that with an elbow that, he admits now, was bothering him during the season's final month. When he informed the Twins of the elbow pain in late October, they brought him to Minneapolis for an MRI. The Twins said at the time that the injury was minor, and after consulting with Dr. James Andrews in Birmingham, decided against surgery -- a decision that Antony said he has no regrets about.
"None whatsoever. [With surgery,] he would have maybe been ready at the very tail end of the regular season," Antony said. Without it? "He might not have missed any of the season. ... If we can avoid it, let's avoid it." Doctors advised waiting to see whether the pain would subside, and Sano withdrew from the Dominican Winter League after playing just two games. The rest-and-rehab strategy seemed to work, since Sano felt fine during training camp -- but the pain returned during Thursday's intrasquad game, when he charged in for a grounder and made a rushed, awkward throw to retire Kurt Suzuki.
"You start to gain some optimism, maybe this is going to work out and he won't need it," Antony said. "But when something happens and he has a setback like that, you have to deal with it."