A little over five years ago, Derek Falvey — in tandem with Thad Levine — took over the roster-building for the Twins. Falvey, in particular, arrived with a reputation earned in Cleveland for helping to develop young pitchers.
There has been very little evidence of that prowess at the Major League level, as the Twins have largely filled rotation slots with holdovers and veterans acquired either via trade or free agency.
Heading into 2022, the model seemed to be this: remake the rotation with a combination of more veterans acquired in trades or free agency, while also leaning on some promising young pitchers.
The problem, with opening day looming next week, is this: The Twins at the moment are planning to ask too much of those inexperienced starters.
Other teams know the Twins are desperate for pitching, and it sounds like the price to get another pitcher to pair with Sonny Gray at the top of the rotation has been pretty steep.
Patrick Reusse and I talked about the predicament on Monday's Daily Delivery podcast.
Bailey Ober had an encouraging 20 starts in 2021, but he finished six innings just twice and logged just 92 1⁄3 innings in those starts — about 13 or 14 outs per game.
Joe Ryan, likewise, showed flashes during his September audition. But putting too much stock in small sample sizes, particularly in September, is dangerous.