Opinions formed when watching an athlete or team in the short term often turn out to be wrong. No surprise there.
The wondrous thing about sports is how often an opinion formed over long-term observation also turns out to be wrong. The change might be temporary, but it is surprising nonetheless.
On Thursday night, the Twins scored three in the ninth to win 4-2 in a series opener in Kansas City. Look at the updated wild-card standings and you get a lesson on what a two-game winning streak can do in this American League mess.
Kyle Gibson went seven innings, gave up eight hits, didn't have a strikeout and yet allowed only two runs. It was his fourth straight strong start, dating to Aug. 22. Gibson and Bartolo Colon have been more reliable than Erv Santana and Jose Berrios over those past couple of weeks.
Gibson will turn 30 in October. He had Tommy John surgery in September 2011, and once he recovered, the Twins awaited the day that Gibson would be a 6-foot-6 source of stability in the middle of the rotation.
There was considerable hope for this after he got his ERA under 4.00, his innings to almost 200 and made 32 starts as the Twins managed similar wild-card contention in 2015.
Gibson started the second game of the 2016 season, as the Twins' No. 2 behind Santana. "Gibson's the key to the season,'' Jack Morris told me in spring training.
Jack was right. Gibson had a shoulder problem early and spent time on the disabled list. When the 2016 Twins played, they were horrendous, and when Gibson pitched, he was horrendous – 6-11 with a 5.07 ERA.