Tropics Come Back to Life near Australia

February 11, 2011 at 8:25PM

A new tropical cyclone has just formed off the shore of western Australia.While this system will not threaten land, latest computer models are hintingthat another cyclone may follow next week with more severe consequences forAustralia.

Tropical Cyclone 14S gained minimal tropical storm strength this morning EST,about 715 miles west of Learmonth, Australia.

The cyclone was able to strengthen after moving past a zone of disruptive windshear (strong winds high in the atmosphere). The cyclone, however, will not beable to escape the cooler water that will lead to its demise later thisweekend.

During its short lifetime, the cyclone will pose no danger to land. The cyclonewill remain on a path heading away from Australia and into the open waters ofthe Indian Ocean.

Western Australia is escaping any impacts from Tropical Cyclone 14S, but thesame may not be able to be said from another tropical threat next week.

Latest computer models are hinting that a new tropical cyclone will form in theIndian Ocean offshore of northwestern Australia later this weekend or earlynext week.

It is possible that the cyclone then slams into western Australia with, at thevery least, flooding rain later next week.

While the AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center wants to alert residents of westernAustralia about the potential for a landfalling-tropical cyclone next week, itshould be stressed that the above solution is not set in stone.

Another scenario is that the cyclone follows in the footsteps of today'scyclone and remains over open water. It is also not out of the question thatthe tropical cyclone never even takes shape.

Story by Kristina Pydynowski, AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist.

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