For the foreseeable future, wave after wave of low pressure will emerge fromAfrica, and each one will have the opportunity to become a tropical storm. Youmust realize that not all these waves turn into something more substantial, butright now a good number of them are.Currently, there are two hurricanes (Igor and Julia) in the Atlantic, and athird disturbance now in the Caribbean could have a name on Wednesday.
The thing about this very active pattern is that none of the storms are headedtoward the United States at this time. Both Igor and Julia will turn toward thenorth well before reaching the Eastern Seaboard, and the tropical low pressuresystem in the Caribbean will probably continue to the west and drill intoMexico this weekend.
Given all the activity in the tropics, could the Eastern Seaboard or Gulf Coasteventually end up right on the front lines? Of course that is a possibility,but there is no way to predict that with any level of certainty.
There is not even a good correlation between the number of storms during agiven season, and how many had direct impact on the United States. Case inpoint was 1992 when Hurricane Andrew pulverized South Florida yet the rest ofthe hurricane season was fairly inactive.
Story by AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist John Kocet.
