The American Public Transportation Association reported this month that U.S. transit ridership hit an all-time high last year. The March 10 report came with a caveat — "all-time" means "after 1956," but the numbers nevertheless sound impressive. Transit users took 10.65 billion trips in 2013, topping the previous record of 10.59 billion trips in 2008.
These numbers were widely reported in the media, often with commentary suggesting a fundamental change in American travel behavior: a nation moving away from driving and toward more efficient and sustainable public transit.
But the association's numbers are deceptive, and this interpretation is wrong. We are strong supporters of public transportation, but misguided optimism about transit's resurgence helps neither transit users nor the larger traveling public.
Transit trips did rise between 2008 and 2013. But so did the U.S. population, from 304 million to 316 million, as did the total number of trips made. Simple division suggests that, if anything, transit use fell between 2008 and 2013, from about 35 trips per person annually to 34.
Many numbers look impressive without denominators, but anyone who examines transit use as a rate — whether as trips per person or as a share of total travel — will find that transit is a small and stagnant part of the transportation system.
Transit receives about 20 percent of U.S. surface transportation funding but accounts for 2 to 3 percent of all U.S. passenger trips and 2 to 3 percent of all U.S. passenger miles. In fact, use of mass transportation has remained remarkably steady, and low, since about 1970. There is nothing exceptional about last year's numbers; they represent a depressing norm.
This is not to say that public transportation is unimportant. Most U.S. transit use occurs in a handful of dense cities, and in these cities transit provides vital mobility, especially for poorer people (particularly immigrants) who don't own cars. New York alone accounts for a third of all transit travel.
A close look at the report shows that while U.S. transit trips increased by 115 million from 2012 to 2013, trips on New York's Metropolitan Transportation Authority rose by 123 million. In other words, transit use outside New York declined in absolute terms last year.