The Obama administration's planned "pivot" to Asia and the about-face back to the Cold War with Russia may be today's foreign-policy focus. But just like every post-9/11 year, 2014 may be marked (or marred) by events in the Mideast. Central to the regional results will be the relationship between Israel and the United States — the topic of this month's Minnesota International Center "Great Decisions" dialogue.
Both nations are involved in shaping strategies regarding Iran, Syria, Palestine — and, in the process, each other. Giving context to these complexities is an influential book, "My Promised Land: The Triumph and Tragedy of Israel." Its author, Israeli columnist and commentator Ari Shavit, was in the Twin Cities last Sunday. In an interview, he addressed the region and the U.S.-Israel relationship.
At the center of this relationship is Secretary of State John Kerry, whose relentless shuttle diplomacy between Israeli and Palestinian leaders has surprised some Israelis with its intensity. "Something came out of him that is quite striking," Shavit said. "He's managed to push Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu much further than we anticipated with a combination of sticks, carrots and EQ [emotional intelligence]. He must do the same with Palestinian President [Mahmoud] Abbas."
But Shavit cautioned that to succeed, Kerry needs to truly understand the "deep, long and bitter conflict" and each side of the Israeli-Palestinian divide, as well as the split within Israel.
"I oppose settlements, but the conflict is not about settlements," Shavit said. "The conflict is about the mutual blindness of us to see that there is a Palestinian people there, and for them to see there is a Jewish people that has a history and legitimate rights and claims in the land."
Shavit said there are two dynamics driving what he calls "the Israeli condition" — occupation and intimidation. "Many peace-loving people, mostly associated on the left, focus on occupation and overlook intimidation, while the people on the right, in this country and other countries, focus on intimidation and overlook occupation. We all have to wrestle with the complexity of the two elements."
This includes Kerry, who Shavit said has to convince Israelis that "he knows what our world is all about," including Syria, whose vicious disintegration tells a lot about the brutality of the region.
It also includes Iran, whose potential nuclear weapons program is what Netanyahu — and Shavit — consider Israel's gravest threat. And yet Shavit thinks the binary narrative is miscast.