Excessive Heat Concerns on Tuesday & Wednesday
The National Weather Service has issued Excessive Heat Alerts for Tuesday and Wednesday due to heat index values that could be as high as 105F. IMPACTS...Extreme heat and humidity will significantly increase the potential for heat related illnesses, particularly for those working or participating in outdoor activities.
Dangerous Heat on Tuesday & Wednesday
Below is chart of forecast highs and maximum heat index values for a number of select cites across the region. Some spots could see heat index values above 100F, including the Twin Cities.
Severe Threat Tuesday
According to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, there is a risk of strong to severe thunderstorms across parts of the southern half of the state late in the day Tuesday. Some of the storms could produce large hail and gusty winds if they can get going.
Severe Threat on Wednesday
There is also a severe risk on Wednesday from near Central Minnesota into parts of central and southern Wisconsin. A few of these storms could be strong to severe with large hail and damaging winds as the primary threat. There could also be heavy rainfall, where some of the stronger storms develop.
Simulated Radar 7AM Tuesday to 7AM Wednesday
Here's the HRRR Simulated Radar from 7AM Tuesday to 7AM Wednesday. Tuesday will be a hot & sticky day with scattered showers and storms possibly developing later in the day, some of which could be strong to severe with pockets of heavy rainfall.
Precipitation Potential Through AM Thursday
Here's the rainfall potential through AM Thursday, which shows the heaviest rainfall along and east of the Mississippi. Some of the rainfall amounts could approach 1" to 2" or more.
Minnesota Drought Update
According to the US Drought Monitor, nearly 20% of the state is now considered to be in an Extreme Drought, which is up from the 4% last week. Keep in mind that this is the first time any part of MN has seen Extreme Drought since April of 2013. 72% of the state is in a Severe Drought, which is up from the nearly 52% from late week. Moderate drought covers much of the Twin cities.
Precipitation Departure From Average Since Jan. 1st
It has been a warm and dry year so far with precipitation running well below average across much of the region. Here's the precipitation from average since January 1st, which shows several locations running several inches below average. The Twin Cities is -5.44" below average precipitation since the beginning of the year, which is the 27th driest start to any year on record. Milwaukee is nearly -9.30" below average, which is the 3rd driest start to any year on record.