The stage is set Sunday for the potential ousting of St. Paul school board incumbents, the latest step in what could be the creation of a feisty new board majority.
Board Chairwoman Mary Doran, Vice Chairman Keith Hardy and 16-year incumbent Anne Carroll face a tough fight for endorsement at the city DFL convention, and like nine of the 10 challengers they have vowed to quit the race if turned away.
The challengers are drawing on the strength of a Caucus for Change movement powered by the district's teachers union. Any who succeed in nabbing an endorsement in heavily DFL St. Paul would be well on the way to victory in November — possibly putting Superintendent Valeria Silva under tighter scrutiny for the direction she's set in the state's second-largest district.
The challengers will have no hand, however, short of a buyout, in deciding if Silva stays with the job. Last month, the current board voted 6-to-1 to extend her contract through 2018, only to see Silva apply for and then abandon a bid for a Florida job a few weeks later.
"I think that will be on a lot of people's minds [on Sunday]," Yusef Mgeni, a member of the St. Paul NAACP and former district administrator who is a convention delegate, said this week. "The timing was not the best as far as the incumbents are concerned, that's for sure. They had enough challenges already in [persuading people] things were on the right track."
At a meeting of the St. Paul NAACP last month, Roy Magnuson, head of the teachers union's political arm, said fewer than 15 people declared allegiances to Doran, Hardy and Carroll by name during pre-convention maneuvering known as subcaucusing — the process used to divvy up delegates for the citywide event.
The incumbents also enjoy support within a number of "Racial Equity" subcaucuses. But a Ward One equity subcaucus totaled just four delegates.
Magnuson expects more than 400 delegates to attend Sunday's convention at Washington Technology Magnet School. Asked to project how many will turn out for Caucus for Change candidates, he declined to specify, but added: "Support will be good, and it will be evident right away."