WASHINGTON - If history is any guide, President Obama will cast his eye abroad over the next four years, hoping to put an imprint on the world that matches the sweeping domestic programs of his first term.
From Iran and Russia to China and the Middle East, there are plenty of opportunities, but also perils, for a leader seeking a statesman's legacy.
Many of the issues Obama will have no choice but to address. For months, decisions on a number of festering problems areas have been deferred by administration officials until after the election. And yet as Richard Nixon did in opening ties to China or Ronald Reagan in embracing arms control, Obama could see the foreign policy arena as a place to achieve something more lasting in a second term than crisis management and more satisfying than the gridlock that has bedeviled his domestic initiatives.
Atop Obama's list, administration officials and foreign-policy experts agree, is a deal with Iran to curb its nuclear program. The United States is likely to engage the Iranian government in direct negotiations in the next few months, officials said, in what would be a last-ditch diplomatic effort to head off a military strike on its nuclear facilities.
'Deft and subtle'
While Obama can scarcely hope for something as seminal as Nixon's journey to Beijing, experts say he has the chance to forge a new relationship with China that takes into account its rising economic might. Last year, the president articulated a "strategic pivot" from the Middle East to China and Asia. Critics said there was less to the initiative than met the eye. But with four more years, Obama could put meat on the bones of an ambitious, if incomplete, policy.
To be credible in Asia, experts said, the United States will need a robust military presence from the Yellow Sea to the South China Sea. But unless the White House and Congress strike a fiscal deal, the Pentagon will face deep budget cuts, depriving it of the ability to project such power. The challenge will be to assert a big role without precipitating a clash with Beijing. "It's going to have to be very deft and subtle in its implementation because there's going to be pushback from the Chinese," said Nicholas Burns, a former undersecretary of state who teaches at Harvard.
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