Nate Silver is perhaps best known for political forecasting, with his rise to prominence coinciding with correctly predicting presidential elections via the site he founded, FiveThirtyEight.com.
But Silver also dives headlong into sports fairly frequently. Heck, FiveThirtyEight even has an entire section devoted to sports — or at least had, considering the recent announcement of massive layoffs at the site that have put it (and Silver) on an unpredictable future path.
When someone so immersed in data and sports pops up, even casually, with a Minnesota-related sports take, I tend to take notice. And this is what Silver said Saturday night on Twitter:
The context was that the tweet was the second in a string, with the first being Silver lamenting how much the Suns gave up to get Kevin Durant — only to lose in the second round of the playoffs and fire coach Monty Williams.
Patrick Reusse and I talked about it on Monday's Daily Delivery podcast.
If the argument is that the Gobert trade, which included four first-round picks leaving Minnesota and heading to Utah along with multiple useful players and pick swaps, was groundbreaking in its scope, I'm not sure I agree.
Plenty of other players have been acquired for similar hauls. Four first-rounders were rumored to be on the table from the Rockets in 2018 as the Wolves were nudged into a Jimmy Butler trade.
The Suns gave up four first-round picks and some very good players for three-plus years of a very expensive and aging Durant. That probably deserves to be in the conversation with all-time bad trades.