Astroball: The New Way to Win It All, by Ben Reiter. (Crown, 253 pages, $27.)
It's a tossup as to who had the most guts: the editors of Sports Illustrated for running a June 30, 2014, cover story proclaiming the Houston Astros as "Your 2017 World Series Champs," or Ben Reiter for writing the story. Reiter's long shot paid off: "The Houston Astros were one of the worst teams in baseball history, and decided to become one of the best. This is how they did it."
The Astros' rise began with statistical analysis by former NASA engineer and former St. Louis Cardinals analyst Sig Mejdal, who left space for baseball after studying Bill James, "the godfather of sabermetrics — the statistical analysis of baseball data." He joined the Astros in 2012.
The organization was radically restructured from the minor league farm system on up, a revolution based on new statistics: "A metric that sought to incorporate the reports of the club's scouts with his own performance-based algorithm, to integrate quantitative and qualitative evaluations. He called it STOUT — half stats, half scouts." In plain English, it meant ditching traditional baseball stats such as batting average and RBI for on-base average, slugging average and other numbers that correlated with winning.
But the Astros' success wasn't based entirely on crunching numbers: There would, in baseball, "always be a place for human intelligence alongside the artificial kind. … There would always be a role for gut feels."
"Astroball" is the baseball book of the year, essential for baseball executives at every level, accessible and fun for fans.
The Baseball Fanbook: Everything You Need to Become a Hardball Know-It-All, by Gary Gramling. (Sports Illustrated for Kids/Liberty Street, 192 pages, $19.99.)
This is the perfect book for getting a kid interested in baseball, with chapters on baseball records such as the single-season hits record (Ichiro Suzuki, 262), most career strikeouts (Nolan Ryan, 5,714) and most career RBI (Hank Aaron, 2,297). You'll learn such fun facts as who is the only player to finish third in the Boston mayoral race, how to score a game and even how to chew sunflower seeds. (Don't stuff your mouth: "It's not a meal.")