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Former President Donald Trump is mired in a tarpit of civil and criminal investigations and lawsuits. All but two of them are unlikely to keep him from occupying the Oval Office again.
The apparently imminent indictment that is so front of mind for Trump will be handed up by a grand jury convened by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg. Bragg's office has been investigating whether Trump and others in his company falsified business records to cover up 2016 hush money payments to a woman who said she had a sexual tryst with him.
Is this the most perilous legal challenge facing Trump? Probably not. He clearly fears being handcuffed, fingerprinted and perp-walked before TV cameras and the media, as anyone would. It's a criminal case, so the threat of winding up behind bars looms. Whether or not that comes to pass, it wouldn't necessarily prevent him from running for president again.
The only qualifications the U.S. Constitution requires for a presidential bid are age, citizenship and residency. Eugene V. Debs and Lyndon H. LaRouche Jr. both ran for president even though they were convicted of crimes. Campaigning from a jail cell may prove awkward for Trump, but in a digital era anything is possible.
Meanwhile, New York Attorney General Letitia James has been prosecuting Trump, his company and his children for possible financial fraud. That's a civil case, so there's no possibility of prison time attached to that one. In Georgia, Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis is conducting a criminal investigation into whether Trump and his allies tried to illegally overturn Georgia's electoral results after the 2020 presidential election. Will that case land Trump in prison? Again, who knows? If it does, though, it still may not preclude a presidential bid.
The pivotal investigations reside at the Justice Department. Attorney General Merrick Garland has appointed a special counsel to determine whether Trump broke any laws in connection with the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol and his decision to remove classified documents from the White House and store them at his Florida residence, Mar-a-Lago. If Trump is found guilty in those criminal cases, he may or may not go to prison — but there's a strong possibility that he'd be forbidden from being president again.