Tax reform is in the air in Minnesota. And the tax everyone loves to hate -- the local property tax -- is again a prime target.
Officials in Gov. Mark Dayton's administration have heard loud and clear that Minnesotans want lower property taxes. It's an idea that the new Legislature seems eager to support.
Although the specifics of Gov. Dayton's tax reform proposal remain a mystery, all indications are that reducing local reliance on property taxation and providing property tax relief will be high priorities. But are these reform goals really justified?
A closer look at the main arguments offered in their favor suggests that concerns about property taxation are significantly overstated.
Argument 1: Minnesota's revenue system is unbalanced and too dependent on property taxes.
In 2010, the property tax's share of the "big three" state-local revenue sources (income tax, sales tax and property tax) was the highest it had been in more than a decade -- 39.8 percent. The resulting tax system has been compared by critics to an off-kilter three-legged stool that can no longer stand up.
But a rise in the property tax's share of revenue is exactly what you should expect at the end of a major recession. Since volatile income and sales tax revenues fell by $1.35 billion between 2008 and 2010, the inherently more stable property tax was predestined to pick up tax share.
Minnesota Management and Budget projects that if we do absolutely nothing, the property tax share of big-three revenues will decline to 36.4 percent next year -- a level that was the norm throughout the 1980s and 1990s.