Page 2: Twins pay price for rushed decisions

July 26, 2016 at 4:34AM
Minnesota Twins third baseman Miguel Sano (22) was able to turn the play for an out after catching a soft line drive hit by Texas Rangers third baseman Adrian Beltre (29) in the top of the sixth inning Friday night. ] (AARON LAVINSKY/STAR TRIBUNE) aaron.lavinsky@startribune.com The Minnesota Twins play the Texas Rangers on Friday, July 1, 2016 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minn.
Miguel Sano, back as a regular at third base, tested the Twins’ patience with his weekend of misplays at the hot corner. (22) was able to turn the play for an out after catching a soft line drive hit by Texas Rangers third baseman Adrian Beltre (29) in the top of the sixth inning Friday night. ] (AARON LAVINSKY/STAR TRIBUNE) aaron.lavinsky@startribune.com The Minnesota Twins play the Texas Rangers on Friday, July 1, 2016 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minn. (The Minnesota Star Tribune)

Broadly viewed, Terry Ryan's dismissal as Twins general manager a week ago came as a result of bad decisions in talent evaluation. You don't fire someone at the top of the personnel food chain, after all, if a roster is stocked with complementary, talented pieces.

Narrowing the view, pitching was the critical area with the most missteps, both in terms of organizational development and outside acquisitions.

Here's an even more narrow view of what went wrong: the Twins under Ryan fell victim too many times to small sample size decisionmaking, particularly when the small sample was positive. Perhaps it comes from believing too much in their own scouting. Maybe it comes from wanting to believe.

In assembling this year's club, the Twins overvalued Kevin Jepsen and Trevor May as back-end bullpen guys based on strong performances down the stretch last year. Jepsen's ERA ballooned to 6.16 this season before he was dumped. May still is battling back from a brutal stretch that has left his ERA at 5.66.

Massive hopes were pinned to Miguel Sano and Eddie Rosario (and to a lesser extent, Byron Buxton). While the Twins were measured in their expectations to a degree, officials also weren't shy about proclaiming the team could contend for a playoff spot this season. And to do that, those guys would have needed to play crucial positive roles.

Going back in time, the Twins rewarded Ricky Nolasco for a decent 2013 season in the National League with a four-year, $49 million deal — never mind that he had been subpar from 2009 to '12. Predictably, he's been subpar since signing. Rather than let Phil Hughes' initial three-year, $24 million contract play out after he excelled in his first season (2014), the Twins added three years and bigger money to it. Hughes might bounce back in 2017 once he is healthy, but right now it's fair to question the wisdom.

There are other examples, but I'll stop the long windup here and get to the headline, which is about Sano's third base defense.

Early on Monday, while mulling Sano's 10th error at third base in his past 15 games — a pace that would put him at more than 100 for a season, which math tells us is not good — it was tempting to overreact and declare it's time to give up on Sano being anything but a designated hitter.

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But it's bad form to want it both ways — on two different fronts.

First, if one is to advocate that this season became wholly about development after the first two months eradicated any playoff hopes, then it's incongruous to argue that a young player should be stopped from developing — as Sano is doing, albeit painfully, at third base.

Second, if one is to make the stated points about small sample size and the failings of the Twins in that regard, it's silly to demand the organization should draw hard conclusions after a rough two weeks.

Sano is a guy who came into the year with huge expectations, battled an injury, played out of position and is now back taking 100 mph ground balls from the shortest distance on the field outside of a pitcher.

In other words: let's not panic about Sano at third base. Grumble, sure, particularly about those dropped pop-ups. Hope for better days, yeah. But give it some time.

about the writer

about the writer

Michael Rand

Columnist / Reporter

Michael Rand is the Minnesota Star Tribune's Digital Sports Senior Writer and host/creator of the Daily Delivery podcast. In 25 years covering Minnesota sports at the Minnesota Star Tribune, he has seen just about everything (except, of course, a Vikings Super Bowl).

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