For years, Minnesota's $2.3 billion nursing home industry received a sympathetic ear at the Legislature and avoided Draconian budget cuts, even in the leanest times.
After all, there is a nursing home in almost every legislator's district -- roughly 400 facilities statewide -- and few lawmakers wanted to hurt a major employer or risk substandard care for the state's frail elderly.
That hands-off tradition could change this year. The heavily regulated industry would take its deepest payment cuts in history under the budget that Gov. Mark Dayton unveiled last week. Some facilities "almost certainly will close" if it is approved, said Gayle Kvenvold, CEO of Aging Services of Minnesota, which represents largely nonprofit homes.
Industry leaders, who have fought off at least three budget-conscious governors in the past two decades, expressed surprise last week.
"We're shocked," Kvenvold said. "Candidate Dayton talked about protecting elderly Minnesotans, but Governor Dayton's budget does not reflect that."
When Dayton chose to protect K-12 education and state aid to local governments -- two of the "big three" slices in Minnesota's budget pie -- it set him up to have to turn to the third slice: health care and human services.
Those services make up 32 percent of the state's general fund budget and will provide something like half of the overall budget savings Dayton proposed.
One facility that could close is Birchwood Care Home in south Minneapolis, a boarding care facility that would see a 25 percent rate cut for 15 of its 60 residents. All but two of the 60 suffer from psychosis, bipolar disorder or other mental illnesses. The rate cut is intended to encourage low-care residents to move back into the community.