Tracking Elsa
As of 5PM EDT, Elsa was a Tropical Storm with 50mph sustained winds located near Cuba and was headed NW at 14mph. Elsa became the 5th named storm of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane on July 1st, which was the earlier on record beating the previous record set last year (2020) by Eduord on July 9th.
Key Messages About Elsa From NOAA's NHC
Tracking Elsa
Elsa is expected to make landfall sometime on Wednesday along Florida's West Coast. Areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are expected as Elsa slides along the coast. Areas of heavy rain will continue through the Mid-Atlantic States through the end of week.
Tropical Alerts
A Storm Surge Warning has been issued for the Florida west coast from Bonita Beach northward to the Aucilla River including Tampa Bay. The Tropical Storm Warning along the Florida west coast has been extended northward and westward to the Ochlockonee River.
Heavy Rains From Elsa
Rainfall from Elsa is expected to be quite heavy across much of Florida and especially along the West Coast, where some 6" to 10" tallies can't be ruled out. Amounts should lessen through the Mid-Atlantic States, but amounts still could approach 2" to 4" in some areas.
Severe Threat Tuesday
According to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, there is a Marginal Risk of severe storms in dark green across parts of southern Minnesota on Tuesday, which includes the Twin Cities. Some of the storms that develop PM Tuesday could produce gusty winds and hail.
Simulated Radar Tuesday
Here's the simulated radar from 7AM Tuesday to 7AM Wednesday. Widespread showers and storms are expected to push through the state much of the day. When all is said and done, some locations could see more than 1" of rain, which will be much needed for lawns and gardens.
Precipitation Potential
The rainfall potential through Wednesday shows fairly widespread rainfall with some locations getting up to near 1" or more, including parts of the Twin Cities. Keep in mind that many locations are dealing with big precipitation deficits so far this summer and since the beginning of the year.
Tuesday Weather Outlook
The weather outlook for the Twin Cities on Tuesday shows cooler temps in place along with a chance of showers and storms. There is a chance of storms in the mid to late morning hours with another round of more widespread showers and storms in the afternoon and evening. Some of the storms during the 2nd half of the day could be a little on the vigorous side, especially across the southern part of the state.