The mass killing at Sandy Hook Elementary School has occasioned systemic reviews of school security procedures, and that's appropriate. Parents are clamoring for reassurances that their kids are safe. That's understandable.
But I winced to read the comments of Connecticut state Rep. Christie Carpino, sponsor of a bill requiring school districts to implement "panic systems" in every school.
Citing the "many schools where kids and their teachers are sitting in fear," Carpino advocated panic systems as the best way "to be pro-active and make schools safe for our children." She added, "If they're not safe, they're not learning."
As the father of a first-grader, I agree that my child's safety is paramount. What parent wouldn't? But before we act, we need to identify what we're trying to accomplish. And that means asking: How unsafe is my child? What is the chance of her being the victim of a school shooting?
There are more than 132,000 schools in this country, with 55 million students. The chance of my child -- or yours -- being killed by a shooter is literally less than 1 in a million.
In the wake of a horrific tragedy, thinking probabilistically seems cold-hearted. But while our emotions don't work statistically, our policymaking must.
If I thought there was any substantial chance of my daughter being harmed at school, I would yank her in a second. For me, the biggest concern is that measures taken in the wake of Newtown will create an atmosphere of anxiety in our schools, way out of proportion to any actual danger.
It's not that I oppose sensible security measures; if we decide that a hidden emergency button a principal or teacher could push in the highly unlikely case that an armed intruder got into the school is one such measure, so be it.