Mark Craig's Week 7 NFL picks against the spread

Let's go out on an oh-what-the-heck-do-we-have-to-lose limb and offer up four upsets for Week 7.

The upstart fellas from New York both will win to stretch their combined victories to 11. They had eight all last year.

The Steelers will win at Miami because Mike Tomlin doesn't do losing seasons. And for the Upset Special, take Atlanta's Marcus Mariota to help beat Joe Burrow in Cincinnati to match what should be Tom Brady's 4-3 start in Tampa Bay.

Restless Vikings fans on their bye week will, of course, be rooting for another upset to come from Washington. That might be asking a tad too much. Yes, the Packers aren't the Packers right now. But Carson Wentz proved yet again that he was who we thought he was, and now he's out several weeks with a finger injury.

Here are this week's picks:

Saints (+2½) at Cardinals: Averaging a league-low 5.3 yards per pass attempt, Arizona's sputtering offense gets a quick boost from activating DeAndre Hopkins and trading for Robbie Anderson. Cardinals 24, Saints 21

Packers (-4½) at Commanders: Aaron Rodgers absolutely will not lose consecutive games to Daniel Jones, Zach Wilson and Taylor Heinicke. Packers 30, Commanders 19

Colts (+2 ½) at Titans: Jonathan Taylor is likely to return to a team that's won three of its last four while giving Matt Ryan some protection. Colts 21, Titans 17

Browns (+6 ½) at Ravens: Ravens by 7

Giants (+3½) at Jaguars: Giants by 6

Buccaneers (-10 ½) at Panthers: Buccaneers by 6

Texans (+6½) at Raiders: Raiders by 3

Seahawks (+5½) at Chargers: Chargers by 3

Chiefs (-2½) at 49ers: Chiefs by 7

Steelers (+7½) at Dolphins: Steelers by 3

Bears (+8½) at Patriots: The Bears don't exactly know how to use Justin Fields. Bill Belichick will know exactly how to stop him. A bad mix makes for a long night in Foxborough for Da Bears. Patriots by 10

Falcons (+6 ½) at Bengals: The Falcons have issues at cornerback heading to Cincinnati to face Burrow and his fantastic trio of wideouts. But never fear! Mariota and the Runnin' Falcons will control the game and add another chapter to one of the league's unlikely early success stories. Falcons 27, Bengals 24

Straight up last week/season: 6-8/47-35-1.

Against the spread last week/season: 7-7/38-53-2.