Minnesota's state butterfly is scarce again this summer, a victim of two bad weather years in a row and the decline of caterpillar-sustaining milkweed in the landscape, experts say.
Counts of caterpillars, which transform into monarchs during the summer, are "the lowest we've ever seen," said Karen Oberhauser, a University of Minnesota professor who runs the Monarch Larva Monitoring Project.
But it's not just a problem in Minnesota.
"I don't think I've ever seen it as low as it is this year," said Chip Taylor, an ecology and biology professor at the University of Kansas who is also director of Monarch Watch, a research and educational organization, speaking of the monarch population across North America.
Indeed, an estimated 60 million monarchs spent the winter at their customary migration site in Mexico, but 350 million would be customary, said Elizabeth Howard, director of the tracking site Journey North. That's an 80 percent decline.
Monarch experts said that small coterie laid eggs on its return trip north this year, but the butterflies that hatched across the southern United States in early spring were hammered by drought in the south, then cold weather and lack of food the rest of the way north.
Waconia naturalist Jim Gilbert said he has seen only one monarch so far this year, in his own garden.
He saw none while working in a prairie area near St. Peter on Tuesday. Last year he saw thousands during the northward spring migration, but their offspring were decimated by summer drought before they could travel back south, Gilbert said.