Graduation rates are among the most-watched metrics at Minnesota colleges and universities. On those numbers, the Legislature allots funding; governing boards evaluate administrators; rating services rank institutions, and parents and students decide where to enroll.
Yet graduation rates can be misleading markers of a school's performance.
They fail to account for the differences in academic preparation and socioeconomic backgrounds of student bodies. Often, they overlook the selectivity of a school's admissions. They're typically based on full-time, fall-semester freshmen enrollment, omitting part-timers, transfer students and those who begin college in the spring. They don't acknowledge how much money a school spends to guide students to completion, or assess whether those resources are deployed to good effect.
As a result, some schools that work wonders with hard-to-educate students go unnoticed, while weak performers get away with unjustified excuses for low graduation yields. Efforts to hold educators accountable go awry. A better measure of an institution's ability to turn its students into graduates, and at what cost, is much in order.
The Midwestern Higher Education Compact (MHEC) is at work on new measures intended to fill that bill. This summer, the Minneapolis-based, 12-state, nonprofit higher-education alliance rolled out preliminary state-by-state "working papers," relying on four-year-old data and seeking feedback from other higher-education experts.
The reports score public and some private institutions on their ability to produce graduates both effectively — given the student bodies and communities they serve — and efficiently, in light of their spending on instruction and related services. Two scores — one for effectiveness, one for efficiency — were derived for 29 two-year and 31 four-year Minnesota schools.
Minnesota's paper is a data-lover's delight. We waded into the work-in-progress and gleaned these observations:
• Four years ago, only about half of Minnesota's public two-year colleges were producing as many graduates as would be predicted from the academic preparation and socioeconomic characteristics of their student bodies and their communities. It's no wonder that Chancellor Steven Rosenstone of the Minnesota State Colleges and Universities system recently stepped up CEO-level accountability for student retention and graduation rates. Unless things have changed dramatically, there's still considerable room for improvement at the state's community and technical colleges.