Mindful of 30 consecutive losses across the nation, the Minnesota group trying to defeat the proposed constitutional amendment to ban same-sex marriage is testing an entirely new strategy that envisions a fierce and unblinking push that lasts from now until Election Day.
While most campaigns quietly build until fall, Minnesotans United for All Families is already fully staffed with 72 paid organizers, thousands of volunteers, eight offices scattered throughout the state and a fevered fundraising operation that has already reeled in $4.6 million.
This unprecedented early summer blitz formally begins this weekend at the Twin Cities Pride festival, a gathering of 300,000 gays, lesbians and supporters who are expected to make up the backbone of the campaign.
"In other states, we've made the mistake of spreading out all of our energy and not having a focused effort," said campaign manager Richard Carlbom. "Minnesota has one chance, we have one chance to beat this thing. And it's going to take all of us working together."
Marriage amendment supporters are working their own battle-tested strategy, quietly. They continue reaching out to churches and producing videos to engage Minnesotans in the conversation. This fall they plan to unleash a torrent of television ads similar to those that swayed voters from California to Maine to North Carolina.
Frank Schubert, campaign manager for pro-amendment Minnesota for Marriage, said he expects his side to have the resources it needs. But, he acknowledges, opponents "have raised a lot of money and we expect they will vastly outspend us at the end of the day." A California political strategist who organized several amendment campaigns, Schubert said that, "We have been given a great blessing to have this conversation and a tremendous amount of time to engage the public."
Leaders of Minnesotans United already are fretting about a late fall advertising blitz by amendment proponents. So rather than sit on a pile of cash through the summer, the campaign has made a strategic gamble to buy $1 million in television advertising during the weeks leading up to the Nov. 6 election -- a rarity among perennially cash-starved campaigns.
"Since nobody had started to buy, we could get an incredible rate," Carlbom said.